CONTEXT

Opioid-related harms continue to rise for children and youth. Analgesic prescribing decisions are challenging because the risk for future nonmedical opioid use or disorder is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To synthesize research examining the association between short-term therapeutic opioid exposure and future nonmedical opioid use or opioid use disorder and associated risk factors.

DATA SOURCES

We searched 11 electronic databases.

STUDY SELECTION

Two reviewers screened studies. Studies were included if: they were published in English or French, participants had short-term (≤14 days) or an unknown duration of therapeutic exposure to opioids before 18 years, and reported opioid use disorder or misuse.

DATA EXTRACTION

Data were extracted, and methodologic quality was assessed by 2 reviewers. Data were summarized narratively.

RESULTS

We included 21 observational studies (49 944 602 participants). One study demonstrated that short-term therapeutic exposure may be associated with opioid abuse; 4 showed an association between medical and nonmedical opioid use without specifying duration of exposure. Other studies reported on prevalence or incidence of nonmedical use after medical exposure to opioids. Risk factors were contradictory and remain unclear.

LIMITATIONS

Most studies did not specify duration of exposure and were of low methodologic quality, and participants might not have been opioid naïve.

CONCLUSIONS

Some studies suggest an association between lifetime therapeutic opioid use and nonmedical opioid use. Given the lack of clear evidence regarding short-term therapeutic exposure, health care providers should carefully evaluate pain management options and educate patients and caregivers about safe, judicious, and appropriate use of opioids and potential signs of misuse.

Opioids are recommended and used for the effective management of acute moderate to severe pain not otherwise relieved by first-line interventions.2  Between 1999 and 2019, nearly 450 000 Americans died of overdoses involving illicit and prescription opioids.3,4  Emergency department visits for opioid overdose have increased by ∼30% during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, comparing an 8-month period in 2020 to the same period in 2019.5 

Persistent use of opioids after therapeutic exposure among opioid-naïve patients is an outcome that has been widely researched in recent years.610  For example, Harbaugh et al6  found that 4.8% of opioid-naïve youth and young adults had persistent opioid use after surgery. Shah et al8  determined that 5.3% of opioid-naïve adolescents and adults who filled an opioid prescription were likely to continue using opioids for ≥1 year; 3.6% had a probability of continued use if patients with chronic noncancer pain were excluded. Still, risk factors for nonmedical use have not been examined in the context of short-term therapeutic exposure to opioids in childhood; to date, research has been focused on personal and environmental characteristics.1117 

Currently, clinical and public opinions regarding the therapeutic use of opioids in children are polarized, and it is unknown if short-term therapeutic exposure is associated with later nonmedical use or opioid use disorder (OUD).1825  Without this knowledge, clinicians and families are unable to weigh risks and benefits in an evidence-informed manner, and decision-makers lack reliable facts to inform decisions during an opioid crisis. Although nonmedical use of opioids and OUD are different entities, behaviors related to nonmedical use, such as taking opioids in greater quantities and durations than prescribed, have been recognized as precursors for the development of OUD.26 

The purpose of this systematic review was to address 2 key questions: (1) Is short-term therapeutic use of opioids in children and youth associated with future nonmedical use or the development of OUD over their life span? and (2) Are there high-risk predictive variables associated with the development of nonmedical use or OUD after short-term therapeutic opioid use in children and youth?

This systematic review was conducted according to methodologic standards defined by Cochrane,27  and the protocol was registered with PROSPERO (identifier CRD42019122681). This study was exempt from ethics approval.

A medical research librarian developed the search strategy, which was peer reviewed by a second librarian. Eleven databases were searched from inception to May 12, 2019 (updated September 4, 2020), 5 of these were key gray literature sources (Search Strategy in the Supplemental Information, Supplemental Tables 5 and 6). Reference lists of relevant and included studies were checked, and primary authors were contacted as necessary. Scopus and Google Scholar were used to conduct a forward citation search based on included studies.

Screening forms were developed and piloted by the review team (M.A., M.P.D., and L.H.). Two reviewers (M.A. and a research assistant or M.P.D) independently assessed all titles and abstracts and potentially relevant full texts for inclusion. Discrepancies were resolved through discussion and with a third reviewer (M.P.D. or L.H.) when needed. Eligibility criteria included the following: (1) publication in English or French, (2) report of quantitative primary research, (3) study participants with short-term (≤14 days) therapeutic exposure to opioids before the age of 18 or during school years (kindergarten to 12th grade), and (4) report of OUD (encompassing the older terms “opioid addiction” and “abuse”)28  or misuse (see Table 1 for definitions). Through discussion and consensus, the review team included one study with short-term exposure for a median of 17 days.29  When the duration of exposure was unclear, studies were included provided there was no definitive language confirming long-term therapeutic exposure to opioids.

TABLE 1

Glossary

TermDefinition
OUD OUD is defined in the DSM-5 as a problematic pattern of opioid use leading to clinically significant impairment or distress.26  The presence of at least 2 symptoms indicates an OUD. 
Opioid addiction “Addiction is a treatable, chronic medical disease involving complex interactions among brain circuits, genetics, the environment, and an individual’s life experiences. People with addiction use substances or engage in behaviors that become compulsive and often continue despite harmful consequences. Prevention efforts and treatment approaches for addiction are generally as successful as those for other chronic diseases.”57  
Opioid dependence “A state of adaptation that is manifested by a drug class specific withdrawal syndrome that can be produced by abrupt cessation, rapid dose reduction, decreasing blood level of the drug, and/or administration of an antagonist.”58  
Opioid misuse “Use of a medication (for a medical purpose) other than as directed or as indicated, whether willful or unintentional, and whether harm results or not.”59  
Opioid abuse “The intentional self-administration of a medication for a nonmedical purpose such as altering one’s state of consciousness, e.g., getting high.”59  This term is no longer used; however, it is referenced here and used in the article when it was the outcome of interest in one of the included studies.60  
Nonmedical use of prescription opioids The use of opioids “without a prescription or use that occurs simply for the experience or feeling the drug causes.”61  
TermDefinition
OUD OUD is defined in the DSM-5 as a problematic pattern of opioid use leading to clinically significant impairment or distress.26  The presence of at least 2 symptoms indicates an OUD. 
Opioid addiction “Addiction is a treatable, chronic medical disease involving complex interactions among brain circuits, genetics, the environment, and an individual’s life experiences. People with addiction use substances or engage in behaviors that become compulsive and often continue despite harmful consequences. Prevention efforts and treatment approaches for addiction are generally as successful as those for other chronic diseases.”57  
Opioid dependence “A state of adaptation that is manifested by a drug class specific withdrawal syndrome that can be produced by abrupt cessation, rapid dose reduction, decreasing blood level of the drug, and/or administration of an antagonist.”58  
Opioid misuse “Use of a medication (for a medical purpose) other than as directed or as indicated, whether willful or unintentional, and whether harm results or not.”59  
Opioid abuse “The intentional self-administration of a medication for a nonmedical purpose such as altering one’s state of consciousness, e.g., getting high.”59  This term is no longer used; however, it is referenced here and used in the article when it was the outcome of interest in one of the included studies.60  
Nonmedical use of prescription opioids The use of opioids “without a prescription or use that occurs simply for the experience or feeling the drug causes.”61  

DSM-5, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition.

Data were extracted by 1 reviewer (M.A.) using a standardized form and verified by a second reviewer (research assistant or M.P.D.). Discrepancies were discussed and resolved by a third party when necessary (M.P.D. or L.H.). Data were extracted on study and population characteristics (eg, setting, age, ethnicity and race), exposure characteristics (eg, duration, dose), risk factors, and outcomes and results (eg, timing, follow-up period, effect estimate).

Methodologic quality of included studies was independently assessed by 2 reviewers (M.A. and L.H. or M.P.D.) using the National Institutes of Health (NIH) Quality Assessment Tool for Observational Cohort and Cross-Sectional Studies.30  Disagreements were resolved through discussion.

Studies were grouped into comparative and noncomparative designs. Odds ratios, risk ratios or relative risks (RRs), and risk differences were extracted from comparative studies or calculated by using Review Manager 5.3 to provide consistent measures across studies. Data were not pooled because of methodologic, clinical, and statistical heterogeneity; as a result, data were summarized narratively.27  Prevalence and incidence rates from the noncomparative studies are presented. Risk factors were extracted as reported by authors and summarized narratively; when available, measures of association were included.

We identified 5219 unique citations, of which 21 studies reported in 22 publications met our inclusion criteria (Fig 1). Reasons for exclusion are described in Fig 1.

FIGURE 1

Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses flow diagram.

FIGURE 1

Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses flow diagram.

Close modal

Table 2 provides a summary of included studies; details for each study are provided in Tables 3 and 4. On the basis of studies in which sample size, sex distribution, and age were reported, 49 944 602 children and youth were analyzed (young adults were also included in the total population count when the youth population could not be separated)31 ; 48.4% were female, and the mean age was 15.7 years. Fifteen studies were conducted exclusively in pediatric or high school populations (including 18-year-olds),18,2123,29,3242  whereas 6 studies included both children or youth and adults.31,4347 

TABLE 2

Summary of Included Studies (N = 21)

Study Characteristicsn%
Study design   
 Noncomparative 16 76.2 
 Prospective cohort 19.0 
 Retrospective cohort 23.8 
 Cross-sectional 12 57.1 
Sex   
 Femalea N/Aa 48.4a 
Mean ageb 15.5 N/Ab 
Study setting   
 School 42.9 
 Home 9.5 
 Dental 4.8 
 Trauma center 4.8 
 Entertainment venues 4.8 
 Other 33.3 
Duration of opioid exposure specified 19.0 
Outcomes reported   
 Misuse or nonmedical use 12 57.1 
 Overdose 28.6 
 Abuse 4.8 
 OUD 9.5 
Country (United States) 21 100 
Study Characteristicsn%
Study design   
 Noncomparative 16 76.2 
 Prospective cohort 19.0 
 Retrospective cohort 23.8 
 Cross-sectional 12 57.1 
Sex   
 Femalea N/Aa 48.4a 
Mean ageb 15.5 N/Ab 
Study setting   
 School 42.9 
 Home 9.5 
 Dental 4.8 
 Trauma center 4.8 
 Entertainment venues 4.8 
 Other 33.3 
Duration of opioid exposure specified 19.0 
Outcomes reported   
 Misuse or nonmedical use 12 57.1 
 Overdose 28.6 
 Abuse 4.8 
 OUD 9.5 
Country (United States) 21 100 

N/A, not applicable.

a

Sex breakdown reflects 12 studies and includes some adult populations because the sex distribution was not presented by age in some studies.

b

Mean age was calculated across 8 studies when such a calculation was possible.

TABLE 3

Key Characteristics and Results of Comparative Studies (n = 5)

Author, Publication Year (Study Years)Study Design; Clinical SettingNo. Participants Analyzed (% Female Sex); Age; Duration of ExposureMeasurement or Definition of OUD or Misuse; Timing of Outcome AssessmentMisuse PrevalenceMain Results: Exposed Versus Unexposed Group ComparisonQuality Assessment Score (NIH Tool)a
Short-term exposure       
 Schroeder et al, 201944  (2015) Retrospective cohort (with age- and sex-matched controls); dental 44 664 (53%); 16–25 y (included subgroup analysis for ages 16–18 y); 3 d (IQR 3–5) ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes associated with opioid abuse within medical records; within 12 mo after exposure 115 of 1814 (6.3%) subjects aged 16–18 who were prescribed opioids were diagnosed with opioid abuse within 365 d (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) Opioid abuse-related diagnosis (total sample): opioid exposed: 866 of 14 888 (5.8%), opioid nonexposed: 115 of 29 776 (0.4%); adjusted absolute RD: 5.3% (95% CI 5.0%–5.7%; P < .001) (estimates adjusted for race and ethnicity and previous nonopioid substance abuse); RR 15.1 (95% CI 12.4–18.3)b 13 of 14 
Unknown duration of exposure       
 McCabe et al, 201618  (1976–2013) Prospective cohort; surveys at school (Monitoring the Future), follow-up questionnaires at age 35 4072 (57%); modal age 18; NR Survey question on lifetime NMUPO; 17 y later (at age 35) Past-year prevalence of NMUPO at age 35 among those with no medical use or NMUPO at 18: 72 of 3014 (2.4%); appropriate medical use only at 18: 23 of 527 (4.4%) (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) Nonmedical use at age 35: no medical use or NMUPO at 18: 1.0 (reference), medical use only at 18: aOR 1.74 (95% CI 1.10–2.76; P < .05); adjusted for race and ethnicity, sex, geographic region, urbanicity, parental education, substance use, and cohort year (age 18); RR 1.83 (95% CI 1.15–2.89)b; RD: 1.98% (95% CI 0.15%–3.80%) b 9 of 14 
 McCabe et al, 201321  (2009–2011) Prospective cohort; online survey (Secondary Student Life Survey) administered in 2 southeast Michigan school districts 1928 (50% at time of enrollment); grades 7–11; NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey question on occasions of misuse in past 12 mo Of those who had appropriate medical use of prescription opioids in year 1, 7.0% (12 of 172) reported any NMUPO in year 2 (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) NMUPO in year 2: no use in year 1: 46 of 1556 (3.0%), medical use in year 1: 12 of 172 (7.0%); RD 4.0% (95% CI 0.1%–7.9%)b; RR 2.36 (95% CI 1.28–4.37)b 10 of 14 
 Miech et al, 201532  (1990–2012) Prospective cohort; survey or questionnaires (Monitoring the Future) administered in classrooms 6220 (NR); grade 12; NR Survey question on opioid misuse in past 12 mo; annually from age 19 to 23 502 of 6220 (8.1%) reported opioid misuse (includes opioid exposed and unexposed groups) Risk of opioid misuse at 23 y after opioid prescription in grade 12: RR 1.33 (95% CI 1.04–1.7; P < .01) (adjusted for sex, race, parent education, use of other substances, course marks, and disapproval of marijuana use); based on a stratified analysis, the association varied on the basis of predicted probability of opioid misuse, in which the largest association was in lower risk strata 7 of 14 
 Osborne et al, 201933  (2008–2011) Cross-sectional; 10 US metropolitan areas: recruited from entertainment centers for survey that took place at same venue (National Monitoring of Adolescent Prescription Stimulants Study) 10 965 youth provided responses to the survey (52%); 10–18 y; NR Survey question on misuse in past 30 d; past 30 d 22 of 526 (4.1%) of those who reported lifetime medical use of prescription opioids also reported past-30-d NMUPO (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) Past-30-d NMUPO: no lifetime medical use of prescription opioids: 153 of 9955 (1.5%), lifetime medical use of prescription opioids: 22 of 526 (4.1%); RR 2.72 (95% CI 1.76–4.22)b; RD 2.65% (95% CI 0.92%–4.37%)b 6 of 14 
Author, Publication Year (Study Years)Study Design; Clinical SettingNo. Participants Analyzed (% Female Sex); Age; Duration of ExposureMeasurement or Definition of OUD or Misuse; Timing of Outcome AssessmentMisuse PrevalenceMain Results: Exposed Versus Unexposed Group ComparisonQuality Assessment Score (NIH Tool)a
Short-term exposure       
 Schroeder et al, 201944  (2015) Retrospective cohort (with age- and sex-matched controls); dental 44 664 (53%); 16–25 y (included subgroup analysis for ages 16–18 y); 3 d (IQR 3–5) ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes associated with opioid abuse within medical records; within 12 mo after exposure 115 of 1814 (6.3%) subjects aged 16–18 who were prescribed opioids were diagnosed with opioid abuse within 365 d (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) Opioid abuse-related diagnosis (total sample): opioid exposed: 866 of 14 888 (5.8%), opioid nonexposed: 115 of 29 776 (0.4%); adjusted absolute RD: 5.3% (95% CI 5.0%–5.7%; P < .001) (estimates adjusted for race and ethnicity and previous nonopioid substance abuse); RR 15.1 (95% CI 12.4–18.3)b 13 of 14 
Unknown duration of exposure       
 McCabe et al, 201618  (1976–2013) Prospective cohort; surveys at school (Monitoring the Future), follow-up questionnaires at age 35 4072 (57%); modal age 18; NR Survey question on lifetime NMUPO; 17 y later (at age 35) Past-year prevalence of NMUPO at age 35 among those with no medical use or NMUPO at 18: 72 of 3014 (2.4%); appropriate medical use only at 18: 23 of 527 (4.4%) (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) Nonmedical use at age 35: no medical use or NMUPO at 18: 1.0 (reference), medical use only at 18: aOR 1.74 (95% CI 1.10–2.76; P < .05); adjusted for race and ethnicity, sex, geographic region, urbanicity, parental education, substance use, and cohort year (age 18); RR 1.83 (95% CI 1.15–2.89)b; RD: 1.98% (95% CI 0.15%–3.80%) b 9 of 14 
 McCabe et al, 201321  (2009–2011) Prospective cohort; online survey (Secondary Student Life Survey) administered in 2 southeast Michigan school districts 1928 (50% at time of enrollment); grades 7–11; NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey question on occasions of misuse in past 12 mo Of those who had appropriate medical use of prescription opioids in year 1, 7.0% (12 of 172) reported any NMUPO in year 2 (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) NMUPO in year 2: no use in year 1: 46 of 1556 (3.0%), medical use in year 1: 12 of 172 (7.0%); RD 4.0% (95% CI 0.1%–7.9%)b; RR 2.36 (95% CI 1.28–4.37)b 10 of 14 
 Miech et al, 201532  (1990–2012) Prospective cohort; survey or questionnaires (Monitoring the Future) administered in classrooms 6220 (NR); grade 12; NR Survey question on opioid misuse in past 12 mo; annually from age 19 to 23 502 of 6220 (8.1%) reported opioid misuse (includes opioid exposed and unexposed groups) Risk of opioid misuse at 23 y after opioid prescription in grade 12: RR 1.33 (95% CI 1.04–1.7; P < .01) (adjusted for sex, race, parent education, use of other substances, course marks, and disapproval of marijuana use); based on a stratified analysis, the association varied on the basis of predicted probability of opioid misuse, in which the largest association was in lower risk strata 7 of 14 
 Osborne et al, 201933  (2008–2011) Cross-sectional; 10 US metropolitan areas: recruited from entertainment centers for survey that took place at same venue (National Monitoring of Adolescent Prescription Stimulants Study) 10 965 youth provided responses to the survey (52%); 10–18 y; NR Survey question on misuse in past 30 d; past 30 d 22 of 526 (4.1%) of those who reported lifetime medical use of prescription opioids also reported past-30-d NMUPO (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) Past-30-d NMUPO: no lifetime medical use of prescription opioids: 153 of 9955 (1.5%), lifetime medical use of prescription opioids: 22 of 526 (4.1%); RR 2.72 (95% CI 1.76–4.22)b; RD 2.65% (95% CI 0.92%–4.37%)b 6 of 14 

ICD-9, International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision; IDC-10, International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision; NMUPO, nonmedical use of prescription opioids; NR, not reported; RD, risk difference.

a

Questions that were not applicable to the study or its design did not count negatively toward the score; more details are available in Supplemental Table 7.

b

Calculated by review authors.

TABLE 4

Key Characteristics and Results of Noncomparative Studies (n = 16)

Author, Publication Year (Study Years)Study Design; Clinical SettingNo. Participants Analyzeda (% Female)b; Age; Duration of ExposureMeasurement or Definition of OUD or Misuse; Timing of Outcome AssessmentResults: Opioid Misuse Incidence or PrevalencecQuality Assessment Score (NIH Tool)d
Short-term exposure      
 Bell et al, 201934  (2011–2013) Retrospective cohort; level I trauma centers (1 pediatric and 1 adult center) 736 (26%); 12–18 y (mean age: 14.6 y); NR (included patients hospitalized for injury; 88% had length of stay ≤7 d) Overdose based on ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes, opioid antagonist administration measured by using medical record data; measured within 5 y after exposure 51 of 668 (7.6%) were given an overdose diagnosis over the 5-y follow-up period; 72 of 668 (10.8%) had an opioid antagonist injection (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) 11 of 14 
 Chung et al, 2018 and 201929,41  (1999–2014) Retrospective cohort; state Medicaid files; indications for opioid prescriptions were 31% dental, 25% outpatient procedure or surgery, 18% trauma, 17% minor infections 1 362 503 outpatient prescriptions for opioids filled (52%); 2–17 y; median 17 d (IQR 16–19) Medical records with coded diagnoses indicating adverse event or symptoms consistent with opioid overdose; all prescriptions filled between 1999 and 2011 were assessed; minimum of 1 y after exposure Opioid-related adverse events: 437 of 1 362 503 (0.03%); adverse events include opioid-related emergency department visit, hospitalization, or death (71.2% were not related to misuse); 71 of 437 (16%) cases of adverse events were attributed to abuse or self-harm; all occurred among adolescents (ages 12–17); total misuse prevalence: 71 events of 1 362 503 (0.005%) prescriptions (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) 11 of 14 
Unknown duration of exposure      
 Boyd et al, 200635  (2003) Cross-sectional; online survey, administered to a Detroit public school district 1017 (50%); 10–18 y (mean age: 13.7 y); NR Survey question on occasions of nonmedical use in past 12 mo 94 of 262 (36%) with prescribed use also had nonmedical use; past-year nonmedical use (lifetime medical use of pain medication versus no medical use): aOR 9.80 (95% CI 5.86–16.39) (adjusted for sex, race, grade level) 7 of 14 
Burke et al, 202046  (2011–2014) Retrospective cohort; Massachusetts Chapter 55 data set (includes a variety of databases, registry records, and toxicology reports) 27 745 (ages 11–17) (55.3%, includes adult sample); 11–85+ y (mean age: 49.1 y) (included subgroup analysis for ages 11–17, which are the data used for this review); 66.4% (across entire population) received opioids for <1 mo Medical claims and emergency department records for OUD or overdose, pharmacy claims for medications; 12 mo to 4 y OUD hazard ratio for ages 11–17: 0.35 (95% CI 0.28–0.43) (P < .001); nonfatal overdose hazard ratio: 0.29 (95% CI 0.09–0.89) (P = .03); fatal overdose hazard ratio: 0.23 (95% CI 0.03–1.65) (P = .14); reference group: 45
–54 y; results were considered significant by study authors at P < .007 
11 of 14 
Chua et al, 201931  (2009–2017) Retrospective cohort; IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database 14 399 799 person-days (reflects “no recent opioid use group”) (52.8% female; reflects total population of study, including recent use group); 12–21 y (mean age: 17.2 y, SD 2.5), reflects total population of study Medical claims with ICD-9-CM or ICD-10-CM codes for overdose; within study years Overdose occurred on 119 of 14 399 799 person-days (0.001%), contributed by the “no recent opioid use” group (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) 12 of 14 
Groenewald et al, 201942  (2007–2015) Cross-sectional; US commercially insured population (Truven MarketScan databases of Commercial Claims and Encounters database) 1 146 412 (50.6%); 11–17 y (modal age: 17 y); NR (up to 90 d of exposure) ICD-9 codes for overdose; median period of observation: 1.75 y (IQR 0.7–6.7 y) 725 individuals of 1 146 412 (0.06%) had an opioid overdose event; cumulative incidence rate of opioid overdose for the total sample: 28 overdose events (95% CI 26–31) per 100 000 observed person-years (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) 12 of 14 
Hudgins et al, 201947  (2015 and 2016) Cross-sectional; national US survey, computer-assisted with interviewer, in residence (National Survey on Drug Use and Health) 27 857 adolescents (52%; includes adult sample)62 ; 12–25 y (included subgroup analysis for adolescents 12–17 y, providing the data used for this review); NR Survey questions on nonmedical use and sources of prescription opioids (DSM-IV criteria used for substance-specific SUD); past-year nonmedical use 19.2% (95% CI 16.4–22.1) of adolescents who were misusing opioids had obtained them from a single physician source, and 2.2% (95% CI 1.3%–3.2%) obtained them from multiple physicians (based on extrapolated population estimates) 7 of 14 
McCabe et al, 201336  (2007–2010) Cross-sectional; national US survey (Monitoring the Future study), paper-based surveys administered in classrooms 8888 (53%); modal age: 18 y; NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey questions on occasions of misuse in past 12 mo and in lifetime 104 (14.4%) of those with nonmedical use of opioids indicated use from previous prescriptions only (calculations were based on weighted samples) 7 of 14 
McCabe et al, 201223  (2007–2009) Cross-sectional; national US Survey (Monitoring the Future Study), paper-based surveys administered in private and public high schools 6673 (48%); modal age: 18 y; NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey questions on occasions of misuse during lifetime (before age 18) 287 of 6673 (4.3%) reported lifetime medical exposure to prescription opioids before nonmedical use (total sample includes opioids exposed and unexposed); 287 of 908 (31.6%) reported lifetime medical exposure to prescription opioids before nonmedical use (all were therapeutically exposed to opioids); 621 of 6673 (9.3%) reported receiving a prescription for opioids and only using it for medical purposes 7 of 14 
McCabe et al, 201122  (2009–2010) Cross-sectional; Internet survey administered to 2 southeastern Michigan school districts 2597 (51.1%); 11–19 y (mean age: 14.8 y, SD 1.9); NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey question on occasions of medical misuse 74 of 369 (20.1%) individuals who were prescribed opioid pain medication in the past year reported past-year medical misuse; 67 of 369 (18.2%) reported taking too much, and 34 of 369 (9.2%) reported that they intentionally got high or used to increase alcohol or other drug effects 7 of 14 
Schepis et al, 201937  (2009–2014) Cross-sectional; national US survey, audio computer-assisted self-interviewing, site of administration not specified (National Survey on Drug Use and Health) 103 920 (49%); 12–17 y; NR Survey questions on nonmedical use in past 30 d; (DSM-IV criteria used for substance-specific SUD) 447 of 103 920 (0.4%) reported misusing prescription opioids from a physician source only (total sample includes opioid exposed and unexposed groups); of those who misused opioids from physician sources only, 12.9% (95% CI 9.5%–17.4%) had an opioid-specific SUD, 5.2% (95% CI 2.9%–9.0%) had opioid abuse, and 7.7% (95% CI 5.5%–10.8%) had opioid dependence 7 of 14 
Schepis et al, 201843  (2015) Cross-sectional; national US survey, computer-assisted self-interviews, site of administration not specified (National Survey on Drug Use and Health) 13 585 adolescents (49%); 12–25 y (included subgroup analysis for ages 12–17 y, providing the data for this review); NR Survey question on medical misuse in past 12 mo 165 of 12 738 (1.3%) had reported opioid misuse in the past year (includes opioid exposed and unexposed sample) 7 of 14 
Schepis et al, 200938  (2005–2006) Cross-sectional; national US survey, administered in homes (National Survey on Drug Use and Health) 36 992 (NR); 12–17 y; NR Survey questions on medical misuse at any point during lifetime 477 of 36 992 (1.3%) of the total sample (opioid exposed and unexposed) reported opioid misuse from a physician source; 22.2% of those who misused opioids had obtained them from a physician, and the remainder had obtained opioids from nonphysician sources 7 of 14 
Veliz et al, 201439  (2009–2012) Prospective cohort; Web-based survey administered within 2 middle schools and 3 high schools in Michigan 1494 (50.3%); year 1: 11–17 y, mean age: ∼14 y; NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey question on occasions of medical misuse; measured annually over a 3-y period Medical misuse (using too much): ≥1 occasion: 74 of 1494 (5.0%), ≥3 occasions: 27 of 1494 (1.8%); medical misuse (to get high): ≥1 occasion: 40 of 1494 (2.7%), ≥3 occasions: 10 of 1494 (1.8%) (includes opioid exposed and unexposed samples) 9 of 14 
Vosburg et al, 201640  (NR) Cross-sectional; Massachusetts Recovery High Schools (in classroom) 31 (29%; reflects 28 participants); mean age: 18 y (±2 y); NR Self-report on opioid abuse and addiction; entire sample had outcome of interest (ie, students all had a lifetime history of prescription opioid abuse) 3 of 31 (9.7%) who had prescription opioid abuse (ie, used medication to get high) and 3 of 18 (16.7%) who had prescription opioid addiction (ie, inability to stop using) reported that they first obtained the prescription opioids therapeutically 6 of 14 
Wei et al, 201945  (2005–2016) Cross-sectional; US commercially insured population (Truven MarketScan databases of Commercial and Medicare supplement claims) 46 921 461 (≤18 y) (40.8%; reflects those with OUD and overdose, not entire sample <18 y); 0–65+ y; (included subgroup analysis for ≤18 y group, providing the data used for this review); NR ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes for OUD and overdose (having at least 1); measured within 1 year of exposure Among incident cases of OUD and overdose in youth, 29.4% received a prescription opioid in the year before in 2006 and 22.6% in 2016 (P for trend = .001) (all were therapeutically exposed to opioids) 11 of 14 
Author, Publication Year (Study Years)Study Design; Clinical SettingNo. Participants Analyzeda (% Female)b; Age; Duration of ExposureMeasurement or Definition of OUD or Misuse; Timing of Outcome AssessmentResults: Opioid Misuse Incidence or PrevalencecQuality Assessment Score (NIH Tool)d
Short-term exposure      
 Bell et al, 201934  (2011–2013) Retrospective cohort; level I trauma centers (1 pediatric and 1 adult center) 736 (26%); 12–18 y (mean age: 14.6 y); NR (included patients hospitalized for injury; 88% had length of stay ≤7 d) Overdose based on ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes, opioid antagonist administration measured by using medical record data; measured within 5 y after exposure 51 of 668 (7.6%) were given an overdose diagnosis over the 5-y follow-up period; 72 of 668 (10.8%) had an opioid antagonist injection (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) 11 of 14 
 Chung et al, 2018 and 201929,41  (1999–2014) Retrospective cohort; state Medicaid files; indications for opioid prescriptions were 31% dental, 25% outpatient procedure or surgery, 18% trauma, 17% minor infections 1 362 503 outpatient prescriptions for opioids filled (52%); 2–17 y; median 17 d (IQR 16–19) Medical records with coded diagnoses indicating adverse event or symptoms consistent with opioid overdose; all prescriptions filled between 1999 and 2011 were assessed; minimum of 1 y after exposure Opioid-related adverse events: 437 of 1 362 503 (0.03%); adverse events include opioid-related emergency department visit, hospitalization, or death (71.2% were not related to misuse); 71 of 437 (16%) cases of adverse events were attributed to abuse or self-harm; all occurred among adolescents (ages 12–17); total misuse prevalence: 71 events of 1 362 503 (0.005%) prescriptions (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) 11 of 14 
Unknown duration of exposure      
 Boyd et al, 200635  (2003) Cross-sectional; online survey, administered to a Detroit public school district 1017 (50%); 10–18 y (mean age: 13.7 y); NR Survey question on occasions of nonmedical use in past 12 mo 94 of 262 (36%) with prescribed use also had nonmedical use; past-year nonmedical use (lifetime medical use of pain medication versus no medical use): aOR 9.80 (95% CI 5.86–16.39) (adjusted for sex, race, grade level) 7 of 14 
Burke et al, 202046  (2011–2014) Retrospective cohort; Massachusetts Chapter 55 data set (includes a variety of databases, registry records, and toxicology reports) 27 745 (ages 11–17) (55.3%, includes adult sample); 11–85+ y (mean age: 49.1 y) (included subgroup analysis for ages 11–17, which are the data used for this review); 66.4% (across entire population) received opioids for <1 mo Medical claims and emergency department records for OUD or overdose, pharmacy claims for medications; 12 mo to 4 y OUD hazard ratio for ages 11–17: 0.35 (95% CI 0.28–0.43) (P < .001); nonfatal overdose hazard ratio: 0.29 (95% CI 0.09–0.89) (P = .03); fatal overdose hazard ratio: 0.23 (95% CI 0.03–1.65) (P = .14); reference group: 45
–54 y; results were considered significant by study authors at P < .007 
11 of 14 
Chua et al, 201931  (2009–2017) Retrospective cohort; IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database 14 399 799 person-days (reflects “no recent opioid use group”) (52.8% female; reflects total population of study, including recent use group); 12–21 y (mean age: 17.2 y, SD 2.5), reflects total population of study Medical claims with ICD-9-CM or ICD-10-CM codes for overdose; within study years Overdose occurred on 119 of 14 399 799 person-days (0.001%), contributed by the “no recent opioid use” group (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) 12 of 14 
Groenewald et al, 201942  (2007–2015) Cross-sectional; US commercially insured population (Truven MarketScan databases of Commercial Claims and Encounters database) 1 146 412 (50.6%); 11–17 y (modal age: 17 y); NR (up to 90 d of exposure) ICD-9 codes for overdose; median period of observation: 1.75 y (IQR 0.7–6.7 y) 725 individuals of 1 146 412 (0.06%) had an opioid overdose event; cumulative incidence rate of opioid overdose for the total sample: 28 overdose events (95% CI 26–31) per 100 000 observed person-years (all therapeutically exposed to opioids) 12 of 14 
Hudgins et al, 201947  (2015 and 2016) Cross-sectional; national US survey, computer-assisted with interviewer, in residence (National Survey on Drug Use and Health) 27 857 adolescents (52%; includes adult sample)62 ; 12–25 y (included subgroup analysis for adolescents 12–17 y, providing the data used for this review); NR Survey questions on nonmedical use and sources of prescription opioids (DSM-IV criteria used for substance-specific SUD); past-year nonmedical use 19.2% (95% CI 16.4–22.1) of adolescents who were misusing opioids had obtained them from a single physician source, and 2.2% (95% CI 1.3%–3.2%) obtained them from multiple physicians (based on extrapolated population estimates) 7 of 14 
McCabe et al, 201336  (2007–2010) Cross-sectional; national US survey (Monitoring the Future study), paper-based surveys administered in classrooms 8888 (53%); modal age: 18 y; NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey questions on occasions of misuse in past 12 mo and in lifetime 104 (14.4%) of those with nonmedical use of opioids indicated use from previous prescriptions only (calculations were based on weighted samples) 7 of 14 
McCabe et al, 201223  (2007–2009) Cross-sectional; national US Survey (Monitoring the Future Study), paper-based surveys administered in private and public high schools 6673 (48%); modal age: 18 y; NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey questions on occasions of misuse during lifetime (before age 18) 287 of 6673 (4.3%) reported lifetime medical exposure to prescription opioids before nonmedical use (total sample includes opioids exposed and unexposed); 287 of 908 (31.6%) reported lifetime medical exposure to prescription opioids before nonmedical use (all were therapeutically exposed to opioids); 621 of 6673 (9.3%) reported receiving a prescription for opioids and only using it for medical purposes 7 of 14 
McCabe et al, 201122  (2009–2010) Cross-sectional; Internet survey administered to 2 southeastern Michigan school districts 2597 (51.1%); 11–19 y (mean age: 14.8 y, SD 1.9); NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey question on occasions of medical misuse 74 of 369 (20.1%) individuals who were prescribed opioid pain medication in the past year reported past-year medical misuse; 67 of 369 (18.2%) reported taking too much, and 34 of 369 (9.2%) reported that they intentionally got high or used to increase alcohol or other drug effects 7 of 14 
Schepis et al, 201937  (2009–2014) Cross-sectional; national US survey, audio computer-assisted self-interviewing, site of administration not specified (National Survey on Drug Use and Health) 103 920 (49%); 12–17 y; NR Survey questions on nonmedical use in past 30 d; (DSM-IV criteria used for substance-specific SUD) 447 of 103 920 (0.4%) reported misusing prescription opioids from a physician source only (total sample includes opioid exposed and unexposed groups); of those who misused opioids from physician sources only, 12.9% (95% CI 9.5%–17.4%) had an opioid-specific SUD, 5.2% (95% CI 2.9%–9.0%) had opioid abuse, and 7.7% (95% CI 5.5%–10.8%) had opioid dependence 7 of 14 
Schepis et al, 201843  (2015) Cross-sectional; national US survey, computer-assisted self-interviews, site of administration not specified (National Survey on Drug Use and Health) 13 585 adolescents (49%); 12–25 y (included subgroup analysis for ages 12–17 y, providing the data for this review); NR Survey question on medical misuse in past 12 mo 165 of 12 738 (1.3%) had reported opioid misuse in the past year (includes opioid exposed and unexposed sample) 7 of 14 
Schepis et al, 200938  (2005–2006) Cross-sectional; national US survey, administered in homes (National Survey on Drug Use and Health) 36 992 (NR); 12–17 y; NR Survey questions on medical misuse at any point during lifetime 477 of 36 992 (1.3%) of the total sample (opioid exposed and unexposed) reported opioid misuse from a physician source; 22.2% of those who misused opioids had obtained them from a physician, and the remainder had obtained opioids from nonphysician sources 7 of 14 
Veliz et al, 201439  (2009–2012) Prospective cohort; Web-based survey administered within 2 middle schools and 3 high schools in Michigan 1494 (50.3%); year 1: 11–17 y, mean age: ∼14 y; NR (ranges from 0 to ≥40 occasions) Survey question on occasions of medical misuse; measured annually over a 3-y period Medical misuse (using too much): ≥1 occasion: 74 of 1494 (5.0%), ≥3 occasions: 27 of 1494 (1.8%); medical misuse (to get high): ≥1 occasion: 40 of 1494 (2.7%), ≥3 occasions: 10 of 1494 (1.8%) (includes opioid exposed and unexposed samples) 9 of 14 
Vosburg et al, 201640  (NR) Cross-sectional; Massachusetts Recovery High Schools (in classroom) 31 (29%; reflects 28 participants); mean age: 18 y (±2 y); NR Self-report on opioid abuse and addiction; entire sample had outcome of interest (ie, students all had a lifetime history of prescription opioid abuse) 3 of 31 (9.7%) who had prescription opioid abuse (ie, used medication to get high) and 3 of 18 (16.7%) who had prescription opioid addiction (ie, inability to stop using) reported that they first obtained the prescription opioids therapeutically 6 of 14 
Wei et al, 201945  (2005–2016) Cross-sectional; US commercially insured population (Truven MarketScan databases of Commercial and Medicare supplement claims) 46 921 461 (≤18 y) (40.8%; reflects those with OUD and overdose, not entire sample <18 y); 0–65+ y; (included subgroup analysis for ≤18 y group, providing the data used for this review); NR ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes for OUD and overdose (having at least 1); measured within 1 year of exposure Among incident cases of OUD and overdose in youth, 29.4% received a prescription opioid in the year before in 2006 and 22.6% in 2016 (P for trend = .001) (all were therapeutically exposed to opioids) 11 of 14 

DSM-IV, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition; ICD-9, International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision; ICD-9-CM, International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification; ICD-10, International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision; ICD-10-CM, International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification; NMUPO, nonmedical use of prescription opioids; NR, not reported; SUD, substance use disorder.

a

Sample analyzed reflects those included in the analysis of the study who were within the age group of interest (children and youth). Total population count for the systematic review does not double count studies using the same sample across same years or those by Chung et al,29,41  in which total sample size was not reported.

b

When the sex was not reported by age group, the percentage of female participants will include the entire population and not just the age group of interest.

c

Burke et al46  did not report on prevalence or incidence of nonmedical opioid use and reported hazard ratios.

d

Questions that were not applicable to the study or its design did not count negatively toward the score; more details are available in Supplemental Table 7.

A majority of the included studies were assessed as having lower methodologic quality; however, they were largely designed to address different types of research questions. Quality scores ranged from 6 of 14 to 13 of 14 (see Tables 3 and 4 and Supplemental Table 7). Common methodologic limitations were self-report of exposures and outcomes, no specification of the duration of exposure, and cross-sectional designs.

In 1 of the 5 comparative studies, the association between short-term therapeutic exposure and opioid abuse was explored44 : Individuals (including adults and youth; mean age 21.8 [SD: 2.4] years) who were prescribed opioids were significantly more likely to have a diagnosis of abuse within 365 days than those who were not exposed (adjusted absolute risk difference 5.3% [95% confidence interval (CI) 5.0%–5.7%]; RR* 15.1 [95% CI 12.4–18.3]). Within the opioid exposed cohort, those aged 22 to 25 were less likely to be diagnosed with opioid abuse at 1 year than those aged 16 to 18 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.8 [95% CI 0.7–1.0]). Asian American race was associated with lower odds of abuse compared with White race (aOR 0.3 [95% CI 0.2–0.6]); female sex (aOR 11.5 [95% CI 9.4–14.8]) and previous nonopioid substance abuse (aOR 4.5 [95% CI 3.4–5.9]) were associated with higher odds of abuse.

The other 4 studies did not specify the duration of therapeutic exposure to opioids; however, each reported an association between therapeutic opioid exposure and future nonmedical use of opioids. McCabe et al21  found that adolescents who reported past-year medical exposure to opioids in year 1 were significantly more likely to have subsequent nonmedical opioid use in year 2 compared with those with no medical exposure (RR* 2.36; 95% CI 1.28–4.37). McCabe et al18  showed that those who had any medical use of opioids by age 18 were significantly more likely to have past-year nonmedical opioid use at age 35 compared with those who had no medical or nonmedical use at age 18 (RR* 1.83 [95% CI 1.15–2.89]; aOR 1.74 [95% CI 1.10–2.76]). Miech et al32  reported a significant association between receipt of a prescription opioid by grade 12 and future opioid misuse by age 23 (RR 1.33; 95% CI 1.04–1.7); this association was strongest among individuals generally considered to be at lower risk for opioid misuse (ie, those with little or no previous drug use and who disapproved of marijuana use). Osborne et al33  found that youth who indicated that they had lifetime medical use of prescription opioids had an increased risk of past-30-day nonmedical opioid use (ie, use of their own opioids in a manner other than directed or of opioids from another person) (RR* 2.72; 95% CI 1.76–4.22) (Table 3).

A majority of the non-comparative studies reported prevalence of nonmedical opioid use after past therapeutic exposure of unknown duration; 2 of the 16 studies indicated that the study sample had short-term therapeutic exposure to opioids.29,34,41  Bell et al34  found that within a cohort of adolescent trauma patients, 11% of patients discharged with a prescription for opioids received an opioid antagonist injection and 8% were given an overdose diagnosis over the 5-year study period. Chung et al29  identified 437 opioid-related adverse events (emergency department visit, hospitalization, or death) of 1 362 503 prescriptions in children aged 2 to 17 years (cumulative incidence 38.3 of 100 000 prescriptions); 71 of the events (0.005% of total prescriptions dispensed and 16% [71 of 437] of total adverse events) were attributed to abuse or self-harm (all in youth aged 12–17).

Across noncomparative studies, nonmedical use prevalence rates among those with medical exposure to opioids ranged from 0.005% to 36%, with a median of 27.8% (interquartile range [IQR]: 20.1%–30.7%; Table 4). However, this corresponds to a wide range of circumstances. In 3 studies, nonmedical use of opioids among those who had been prescribed opioids (20.1%–36%) was measured22,23,35 ; in 1, the authors assessed the proportion of past-year nonmedical misusers whose only source of misuse was their prescription (14.4%).36  Wei et al45  examined 10-year trends in incident cases of OUD or overdose and reported annual rates of individuals who had received a prescription in the year before (22.6%–34.1%). There was a significant decrease in the proportion of youth receiving prescription opioids before being diagnosed with OUD or overdose between 2006 and 2016 (P value for trend = .001). The lowest value (0.005%) represents adverse events (emergency department visit, hospitalization, or death) as a result of abuse or self-harm from opioid prescriptions dispensed over a 5-year follow-up period.29  Bell et al34  also reported on opioid overdoses, with prevalence rates of 7.6% for an overdose diagnosis and 10.8% for an opioid antagonist injection over a 5-year period after an opioid was prescribed. These values can be contrasted with prevalence rates among samples including individuals who were and were not medically exposed to opioids (median 2.6%; IQR 1.3%–4.3%).

Age, sex, race and ethnicity, and previous substance abuse were commonly explored risk factors within the studies we included; however, results were inconsistent across and sometimes within studies. The impact of age was most constant, with 3 studies reporting that older adolescents were at higher risk of nonmedical opioid use than younger children and young adults.29,34,44  Two studies determined that female participants were more likely to have nonmedical use than male participants,33,36  although a difference was not found in 6 studies.23,29,31,32,34,42  In 4 studies, authors examined previous substance abuse as a risk factor for nonmedical prescription opioid use, but the studies differed markedly in variables measured and analytic approaches used. Miech et al32  determined that students who were at lower risk for opioid misuse (ie, had the least experience with illegal drug use and strongly disapproved of the use of marijuana) had the strongest association between prescription opioid use and nonmedical use after high school, whereas Schroeder et al44  found that those with previous nonopioid substance abuse were at higher risk of opioid abuse. Bell et al34  found no association with a positive drug or alcohol screen result on admission. All studies examining race and ethnicity found a significant effect, although findings differed: 3 studies found that White participants were more likely to misuse opioids than Asian American participants,44  African American participants,23  and racial and ethnic minority individuals,32  whereas 2 others found that African American participants were more likely to misuse than White participants.34,38  Currently, the evidence related to risk factors for nonmedical opioids use or OUD after short-term therapeutic exposure is unclear (Fig 2, Supplemental Table 8).

FIGURE 2

Risk factors for nonmedical prescription opioid use by statistical significance. The substance abuse summary row includes the data from each of the 7 rows below. Additional details are available in Supplemental Fig 3.

FIGURE 2

Risk factors for nonmedical prescription opioid use by statistical significance. The substance abuse summary row includes the data from each of the 7 rows below. Additional details are available in Supplemental Fig 3.

Close modal

There is limited evidence to determine if short-term therapeutic exposure to opioids in childhood is definitively associated with future nonmedical opioid use or development of an OUD; however, this review suggests a link between lifetime therapeutic opioid use (unknown duration) and nonmedical opioid use. The existing evidence on risk factors for nonmedical opioid use or OUD after short-term therapeutic exposure is unclear; however, older adolescents with short-term therapeutic exposure during their lifetime may be at higher risk of nonmedical use than younger children.

There is a great deal of emerging research related to the harms associated with the therapeutic use of opioids; however, we were unable to clearly answer our original question. Current research has been focused on the use of opioids in adult populations, and the evidence suggests that a prescription for opioids for a long duration puts adults at risk for future nonmedical opioid use.48  Data specific to pediatrics are scarce and, to date, have largely relied on cross-sectional, self-reported evaluations of usage patterns. Prospective studies are urgently needed in the area of acute pain to help inform decisions in emergency departments, in ambulatory clinics, and after surgeries.

The study by Miech et al32  has been widely cited and has generated much controversy because the ones at most risk for opioid misuse after therapeutic exposure were those who would typically be least expected of being at risk: those with little to no history of previous drug use and with strong disapproval of illegal drug use. Miech et al32  acknowledge that their “results do not support legitimate opioid prescription use, by itself, as a major contributor to chronic opioid misuse.”32  Hence, health care providers should not use these conclusions as a basis for limiting prescribing when opioids are needed, but rather they should ensure some risk screening (ie, for preexisting OUD at minimum), judicious prescribing, and disposal mechanisms are in place. With the current stigma around opioid use, the undertreatment of pain and its associated short- and long-term consequences cannot and should not be ignored.49 

A broad framework for evidence-based prescribing post surgery identifies 3 key areas of responsible opioid prescribing: recognizing that prescription opioid use is associated with short- and long-term risks, optimizing pain management in the perioperative phase by using alternative nonopioid medication when possible, and educating families and patients about managing pain and using opioids safely before and after surgery.50  Although evidence-based guidelines and validated risk screening tools for the use of opioids for children of all ages with acute pain are lacking, other resources may help guide decision-making on the use of opioids, such as Health Quality Ontario guidelines for prescribing opioids for acute pain for ages 15 and older51  and the World Health Organization’s guidelines for prescribing opioids for chronic pain.52  The use of resources by caregivers and prescribers (eg, brochures developed by the Institute for Safe Medication Practices Canada)53  may help navigate the challenging conversations with patients and families around opioid risks and use.

Our systematic review captures studies published up until September 4, 2020, and as a result, we would not take into consideration the evidence based on any newly published studies. For example, we did not include the 2021 study by Hadland et al54  that reported incidence rates of overdose and OUD ranging from 0.1% to 0.3% among youth and adults who had acutely painful conditions and were therapeutically exposed to opioids. Nonetheless, these new findings would fall within the nonmedical use prevalence and incidence rates that we observed in our sample, which ranged from 0.005% to 36%.

This review provides a rigorous and comprehensive synthesis of the current literature; however, there were few studies that directly addressed our research question. In addition, there were a number of limitations with the existing evidence. First, study samples might not have been opioid naïve. Short-term exposure to opioids was evaluated in only 3 studies, of which only 1 had a nonexposed comparison group.44  None of these studies were able to fully control for opioid naiveté. Studies that did not specify the duration of exposure were also included, unless there were clear indications of long-term exposure, such as long-term use of opioids for chronic conditions; therefore, our sample may have included some participants with longer-term exposure or excluded those who had chronic pain and were opioid naïve. Many studies were focused on past-year medical exposure rather than lifetime exposure and did not have measures in place to ensure that therapeutic exposure preceded opioid misuse at any point during one’s lifetime.

A second limitation is that exposure might have occurred during adulthood. Many of the surveys were conducted in high schools, where some of the participants were already 18 years old and therefore could have been exposed therapeutically in adulthood.18,2123,32,33,35,36,40  Similarly, in the most robust comparative study, the authors reported on associations for the entire sample, which included youth and adults and was not broken down by age group.44  A third challenge in synthesizing this literature was inconsistency in outcome measurement and terminology. Some studies only captured past-year or past-30-day misuse, potentially underreporting the prevalence of opioid misuse. Study authors also reported a number of outcomes, such as addiction, abuse, overdose, self-harm, nonmedical use, medial misuse, diversion, opioid-specific substance use disorder, and OUD. Although a majority fall under the umbrella terms “misuse” and “nonmedical use,” they capture variable information. Fourth, a majority of the studies were considered of poor quality because of their cross-sectional design, reliance on self-reporting, inadequate measures for ensuring short-term therapeutic exposure preceded outcome, lack of controlling for confounders, and lack of a comparator group.

Finally, our included studies may be limited with respect to their generalizability. Some studies using clinical samples relied on commercial44  and/or Medicaid29,45  insurance claims. Data from other service providers (such as emergency medical services and the police) or opioid-related adverse events in which medical attention was not sought were not routinely reported. In addition, the risk of misuse may vary on the basis of location of exposure (eg, within a controlled hospital setting versus going home with prescribed opioids). Risk of nonmedical opioid use after short-term exposure in a controlled setting was not reported in any of the included studies.

To assess potential harms from short-term therapeutic opioid use, future research is needed in which studies reliably assess and report duration of opioid exposure, dosage, preparation type, and setting; compare those exposed with an unexposed group; control for opioid naiveté at baseline (ie, no previous long- or short-term therapeutic and/or nontherapeutic exposure); differentiate between reasons for nonmedical use (eg, for pain or pleasure); rigorously assess risk factors; and evaluate the potential misuse associated with exposure to different opioids because some may put patients at higher risk of misuse than others.55  Existing administrative data may be more effectively used via record linkage to help construct more comprehensive data sets. The use of artificial intelligence, including machine learning, may also provide an opportunity to identify risk factors for misuse.56 

There is limited evidence to determine if short-term exposure is specifically associated with OUD or nonmedical use of opioids; however, a number of studies suggest an association between lifetime therapeutic opioid use and nonmedical opioid use. There is also limited evidence to identify risk factors for OUD or nonmedical use after short-term therapeutic exposure. Rigorous studies are needed to examine the association between short-term therapeutic exposure in children and youth and nonmedical opioid use or the development of an OUD. Until the risks are more clearly defined, it is recommended that before prescribing short-term opioids, health care providers carefully consider the risks, benefits, and alternatives and educate patients and caregivers about safe and appropriate use and when to seek reassessment.

Mr Ben Vandermeer provided assistance with interpreting statistical data and validating the statistical analysis. Mr Daniel DaRosa assisted as a second reviewer for screening and data extraction. Ms Jocelyn Shulhan-Kilroy assisted with data verification. Ms Linda Slater developed and ran the initial search, and Ms Tara Landry peer reviewed the search and ran the update. Ms Lana Atkinson and Ms Robin Featherstone also supported the development of the initial search. Ms Diana Keto-Lambert and Ms Sholeh Rahman conducted the gray literature searches.

*

Calculated by review team.

Calculated by study authors.

Ms Ahrari was involved in the study concept and design, was involved in the acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data, conducted statistical analysis, led the drafting of the manuscript, and had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis; Drs Dyson and Hartling obtained funding, were involved in the study concept and design, provided study supervision, were involved in the acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data, provided support with statistical analysis and the drafting and critical revision of the manuscript, and had full access to all the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis; Dr Ali obtained funding, was involved in the study concept and design, provided study supervision and was involved in the analysis and interpretation of data and the drafting and critical revision of the manuscript; Drs Dong, Drendel, and Klassen and Mr Schreiner were involved in the study concept and design; and all authors engaged in a critical revision of the manuscript for intellectual content, approved the final manuscript as submitted, and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work.

This trial has been registered with PROSPERO (https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/) (identifier CRD42019122681).

FUNDING: Supported by the Alberta Health Services Emergency Strategic Clinical Network and Maternal Newborn Child Youth Strategic Clinical Network Health Outcomes Improvement Fund. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the views of the Emergency Strategic Clinical Network Scientific Office, Maternal Newborn Child Youth, or Alberta Health Services. Dr Hartling is supported by a Tier 1 Canada Research Chair in Knowledge Synthesis and Translation and is a distinguished researcher with the Stollery Science Laboratory. Dr Dong receives a medical leadership salary from Alberta Health Services and has received committee honoraria from the College of Physicians and Surgeons of Canada. Dr Klassen is supported by a Tier 1 Canada Research Chair of Clinical Trials. The funding sources had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

In this review, we explore the association between short-term therapeutic exposure to opioids in childhood and nonmedical opioid use as well as associated risk factors.

aOR

adjusted odds ratio

CI

confidence interval

IQR

interquartile range

NIH

National Institutes of Health

OUD

opioid use disorder

RR

risk ratio or relative risk

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Competing Interests

POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST: The authors have indicated they have no potential conflicts of interest to disclose.

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