TABLE 5

Multivariable Logistic Regression Model of Smoking Status at Wave 4 Among Never Smokers at Wave 1, Including Electronic Cigarette Use at Any Wave: PATH Study, 2013 (Wave 1) to 2018 (Wave 4) (N = 8899)

Experimental SmokersaCurrent SmokersaEstablished Smokersa
aORb (95% CI)aORb (95% CI)aORb (95% CI)
Susceptibility level at wave 1 (ref: level 0)    
 1 1.5 (1.3–1.8)c 1.3 (1.0–1.7) 0.9 (0.5–1.7) 
 2 2.3 (1.9–3.0)c 1.9 (1.4–2.6)c 2.0 (1.2–3.4)c 
 3 + 4 3.7 (2.9–4.6)c 2.5 (1.9–3.3)c 2.7 (1.5–4.8)c 
Characteristics at wave 1    
 Age, y (ref: 12–14 y)    
  15–17 2.7 (2.2–3.3)c 3.3 (2.6–4.4)c 3.8 (2.1–6.7)c 
 Sex (ref: female)    
  Male 1.2 (1.0–1.4)c 1.4 (1.1–1.7)c 1.7 (1.2–2.4)c 
 Race and/or ethnicity (ref: white)    
  Black 0.6 (0.4–0.7)c 0.6 (0.4–0.8)c 0.2 (0.1–0.6)c 
  Latino/a 0.8 (0.7–1.0) 0.7 (0.5–0.9)c 0.6 (0.4–1.0) 
 School performanced (ref: much better than average)    
  Better than average 1.3 (1.1–1.5)c 1.3 (1.0–1.6)c 1.1 (0.7–1.6) 
  Average and below 1.3 (1.0–1.6) 1.2 (0.9–1.7) 1.5 (0.9–2.5) 
Smoking-related characteristics at wave 4    
 Exposure to other smokers (ref: no exposure)    
  Family only 1.5 (1.2–1.8)c 2.2 (1.7–2.8)c 2.5 (1.6–3.8)c 
  Best friend only 2.8 (2.0–3.8)c 3.5 (2.4–5.13)c 2.2 (0.9–5.1) 
  Both family and best friends 6.2 (4.4–8.6)c 7.5 (4.8–11.7)c 7.7 (4.1–14.6)c 
  E-cigarette use at any wave (ref: no) 7. 7 (6.6–9.1)c 7.5 (5.8–9.8)c 6.3 (3.7–10.7)c 
Experimental SmokersaCurrent SmokersaEstablished Smokersa
aORb (95% CI)aORb (95% CI)aORb (95% CI)
Susceptibility level at wave 1 (ref: level 0)    
 1 1.5 (1.3–1.8)c 1.3 (1.0–1.7) 0.9 (0.5–1.7) 
 2 2.3 (1.9–3.0)c 1.9 (1.4–2.6)c 2.0 (1.2–3.4)c 
 3 + 4 3.7 (2.9–4.6)c 2.5 (1.9–3.3)c 2.7 (1.5–4.8)c 
Characteristics at wave 1    
 Age, y (ref: 12–14 y)    
  15–17 2.7 (2.2–3.3)c 3.3 (2.6–4.4)c 3.8 (2.1–6.7)c 
 Sex (ref: female)    
  Male 1.2 (1.0–1.4)c 1.4 (1.1–1.7)c 1.7 (1.2–2.4)c 
 Race and/or ethnicity (ref: white)    
  Black 0.6 (0.4–0.7)c 0.6 (0.4–0.8)c 0.2 (0.1–0.6)c 
  Latino/a 0.8 (0.7–1.0) 0.7 (0.5–0.9)c 0.6 (0.4–1.0) 
 School performanced (ref: much better than average)    
  Better than average 1.3 (1.1–1.5)c 1.3 (1.0–1.6)c 1.1 (0.7–1.6) 
  Average and below 1.3 (1.0–1.6) 1.2 (0.9–1.7) 1.5 (0.9–2.5) 
Smoking-related characteristics at wave 4    
 Exposure to other smokers (ref: no exposure)    
  Family only 1.5 (1.2–1.8)c 2.2 (1.7–2.8)c 2.5 (1.6–3.8)c 
  Best friend only 2.8 (2.0–3.8)c 3.5 (2.4–5.13)c 2.2 (0.9–5.1) 
  Both family and best friends 6.2 (4.4–8.6)c 7.5 (4.8–11.7)c 7.7 (4.1–14.6)c 
  E-cigarette use at any wave (ref: no) 7. 7 (6.6–9.1)c 7.5 (5.8–9.8)c 6.3 (3.7–10.7)c 

ref, reference group.

a

Experimental = ever tried or smoked a cigarette, even 1 or 2 puffs; current = smoked a cigarette in the past 30 d; and established = smoked ≥100 cigarettes in lifetime.

b

Model also included parental education and household income.

c

Statistically significant at an α <0.05 level.

d

Much better than average = mostly A’s or A’s and B’s; better than average = mostly B’s or B’s and C’s; and average and below = mostly C’s, C’s and D’s, mostly D’s, D’s and F’s, or mostly F’s.

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